The starting point of the system on which the model is constructed is simple. Technically speaking, an asset can be bullish, bearish or neutral; there are no other possibilities. In addition, each case can anticipate movements and generate dealing appropriate for every investment profile, i.e. it is more or less agile. At this point it should be noted that, in concept, bearish and bullish trends are the same, but in opposite directions. However, neutral motion (sideways movement) is the answer to a process of consolidation or correction of a previous trend. We can therefore divide movements into two types - Impulsive, i.e. trends, and
- Corrective, i.e. consolidation.
Technical analysis tries to separate movements, distinguish one from another, which is basic for their classification (as far as impulses and corrections are concerned) within an appropriate time frame. Regarding the consequences of the operation, it is always less serious when the opposite position to the movement is taken during correction. The most dangerous deals take place during trending as, in neutral processes, limited liquidation losses tend to appear. As we shall see, the key is the use of stop loss in order to prevent operational errors especially when the market is trending. It is important to clarify that impulse movement or trend has certain characteristics, whether it is upwards or downwards. Impulse movements are pro-trend, they are trends in themselves. However, when a movement has no impulsive characteristics, or is against the main trend i.e. it is a correction or, a priori, it is an impulse movement which has failed. Both cases (corrections or failed impulse) share similar characteristics and common elements which, despite the fact that they require different conceptual classifications are, in practice, treated as the same. Impulse movements, either upward or downward, are followed by minor corrections i.e. an uptrend falls slightly before continuing and reaching new peaks. In a bear trend small rebounds occur, but later the trend proceeds and sets new lows. It is clear therefore that it is necessary to describe an impulse or non-impulse movement to assess its continuation potential. Guidelines, Support and Resistance: A Memo Basically a technical structure or model could be summed up as the layout of trend lines, support and resistance as the main limitation of movement. Other elements, figures and formations can be expressed as combinations of these three basic elements.
On setting aside an earlier orientative bull movement, it is confirmed as completed, regardless of prior signs of exhaustion or not. The support and resistance levels also limit and define the state of an asset, so once lost or passed, they confirm the end of one stage and the start of a new one. Support and resistance levels can contain a certain degree of inclination without thereby becoming trend lines, as they are not trends but simply accumulation points of supply and demand. Once exceeded, support and resistance levels change their character. We will go into more detail on this later. |